October 25, 2016 – Update #1 – College Soccer News' veteran Bracketologist has revised his projections of the forty-eight teams that will constitue the 2016 NCAA Tournament field, the sixteen seeds, and the match-ups based on the most recent RPI issued and a projection of the conference champions based on the information currently available. His analysis is based on projected conference winners and the same criteria the selection committee will utilize which includes win-loss record, geography, recent team play, quality wins, and the head-to-head match-ups that have taken place to date. These projections will continue to be revised as the season progresses.
CSN's Bracketologist advises that the RPI will likely change dramatically as the season progresses thus impacting his projections. In addition clarity in regard to most conference championships will not be decieded until conference tournaments are completed.
The projections are not reflective of any national polls nor are they an attempt to gague who the best teams are. The projections are designed to predict what the NCAA Tournament field would be if the selection committee were to make their selections at this moment. The projections do not take into account expected future results.
The NCAA Tournament field, the seeds, and the brackets will be announced on November 14, 2016 at 1 p.m. Eastern Time.
#1 Maryland Region
First Round: Radford (Big South Automatic at Villanova (Big East #3)
Second Round: Winner at #1 Maryland (Big Ten Automatic)
First Round: Quinnipiac (MAAC Automatic) at Albany (America East Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #16 Dartmouth (Ivy Automatic)
First Round: ETSU (Southern Conference #2) at Virginia Tech (ACC #9)
Second Round: Winner at #8 Charlotte (CUSA #2)
Providence (Big East #4) at New Hampshire (America East #2)
First Round: ETSU (Southern Conference Automatic) at Virginia Tech (ACC #9)
Second Round: Winner at #9 North Carolina (ACC #5)
#2 Clemson Region
First Round: Mercer (Southern Conference Automatic) at North Florida (Atlantic Sun Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #2 Clemson (ACC #2)
First Round: South Florida (AAC Automatic) at Boston College (ACC #8)
Second Round: Winner at #15 Butler (Big East #2)
FIrst Round: Bowling Green (MAC Automatic) at Michigan State (Big Ten #2)
Second Round: Winner at #7 Loyola Chicago (MVC Automatic)
First Round: American (Patriot Automatic) at West Virginia (MAC #2)
Second Round: Winner at #10 Kentucky (CUSA #3)
#3 Louisville Region
First Round: Saint Louis (Atlantic 10 Automatic) at Utah Valley (WAC #2)
Second Round: Winner at #3 Louisville (ACC Automatic)
First Round: Seattle (WCC Automatic) at San Diego State (Pac-12 #3)
Second Round: Winner at #14 Denver (Summit Automatic)
First Round: Harvard (Ivy #2) at UConn (AAC #2)
Second Round: Winner at #6 Syracuse (ACC #4)
First Round: Wright State (Horizon Automatic) at Indiana (Big Ten #3)
Second Round: Winner at #11 Notre Dame (ACC #6)
#4 Wake Forest Region
First Round: St. Francis (N.Y.) (NEC Automatic) at Hofstra (CAA Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #4 Wake Forest (ACC #3)
First Round: Coastal Carolina (Sun Belt Automatic) at South Carolina (CUSA Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #13 Virginia (ACC #7)
First Round: UC Santa Barbara (Big West Automatic) at Pacific (WCC #2)
Second Round: Winner at #5 Stanford (Pac-12 Automatic)
First Round: Portland (WCC Automatic) at Creighton (Big East Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #12 Washington (Pac-12 #2)
Conference Breakdown
America East | 2 |
American Athletic | 2 |
Atlantic Coast | 9 |
Atlantic Sun | 1 |
Atlantic 10 | 1 |
Big East | 4 |
Big South | 1 |
Big Ten | 3 |
Big West | 1 |
CAA | 1 |
CUSA | 3 |
Horizon League | 1 |
Ivy League | 2 |
Metro Atlantic | 1 |
Mid American | 2 |
Missouri Valley | 1 |
Northeast | 1 |
Pacific 12 | 3 |
Patriot League | 1 |
Southern | 2 |
Summit League | 1 |
Sun Belt | 1 |
WAC | 2 |
West Coast | 2 |
Total | 48 |
Last Four At Large Selections:
Harvard
San Diego State
Providence
ETSU
Last Four Out:
UCLA
Vermont
Xavier
Colgate
Projected Conference Winners
Conference | 17 October 2016 | RPI |
America East | Albany | 15 |
American Athletic | South Florida | 36 |
Atlantic Coast | Louisville | 3 |
Atlantic Sun | North Florida | 24 |
Atlantic 10 | Saint Louis | 38 |
Big East | Creighton | 21 |
Big South | Radford | 46 |
Big Ten | Maryland | 2 |
Big West | UC Santa Barbara | 87 |
Colonial Athletic | Hofstra | 25 |
Conference USA | South Carolina | 20 |
Horizon League | Wright State | 97 |
Ivy League | Dartmouth | 18 |
Metro Atlantic | Quinnipiac | 61 |
Mid American | Bowling Green | 73 |
Missouri Valley | Loyola Chicago | 4 |
Northeast | St. Francis (NY) | 99 |
Pacific 12 | Stanford | 6 |
Patriot | American | 79 |
Southern | Mercer | 48 |
Summit | Denver | 14 |
Sun Belt | Coastal Carolina | 47 |
WAC | Seattle | 58 |
West Coast | Portland | 54 |