November 1, 2016 – Update #2 – College Soccer News' veteran Bracketologist has revised his projections of the forty-eight teams that will constitue the 2016 NCAA Tournament field, the sixteen seeds, and the match-ups based on the most recent RPI issued and a projection of the conference champions based on the information currently available.
His analysis is based on projected conference winners and the same criteria the selection committee will utilize which includes win-loss record, geography, recent team play, quality wins, and the head-to-head match-ups that have taken place to date. These projections will continue to be revised as the season progresses.
CSN's Bracketologist advises that the RPI will likely change dramatically as the season progresses thus impacting his projections. In addition clarity in regard to most conference championships and the potential impact that upsets may have on at-large berths will not be known until conference tournaments are completed.
The projections are not reflective of any national polls nor are they an attempt to gague who the best teams are. The projections are designed to predict what the NCAA Tournament field would be if the selection committee were to make their selections at this moment. The projections do not take into account expected future results.
The NCAA Tournament field, the seeds, and the brackets will be announced on November 14, 2016 at 1 p.m. Eastern Time.
Maryland Region
First Round: New Hampshire (America East Automatic) at Boston College (ACC #8)
Second Round: Winner at #1 Maryland (Big Ten Automatic)
First Round: Creighton (Big East #3) at Utah Valley (WAC Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #16 Denver
First Round: Saint Louis (Atlantic 10 Automatic) at ETSU (Southern Conference Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #8 Louisville (ACC #4)
First Round: Stony Brook (America East #4) at Dartmouth (Ivy League #2)
Second Round: Winner at #9 Syracuse (ACC #5)
Clemson Region
First Round: Portland (WCC Automatic) at San Diego State (Pac-12 #4)
Second Round: Winner at #2 Clemson
First Round: Wright State (Horizon Automatic) at West Virginia (MAC #2)
Second Round: Winner at #15 Indiana (Big Ten #2)
First Round: UC Santa Barbara (Big West Automatic) at UCLA (Pac-12 #3)
Second Round: Winner at #7 Wake Forest (ACC #3)
First Round: Bowling Green (MAC Automatic) at Butler (Big East #2)
Second Round: Winner at #10 Notre Dame
Washington Region
First Round: St. Francis (NEC Automatic) at Hofstra (CAA Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #3 Washington (Pac-12 #2)
First Round: Vermont (America East #3) at Providence (Big East Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #14 Harvard (Ivy Automatic)
First Round: Radford (Big South Automatic) at Virginia Tech (ACC #9)
Second Round: Winner at #6 Charlotte (CUSA Automatic)
First Round: Quinnipiac (MAAC Automatic) at Albany (America East #2)
Second Round: Winner at #11 Kentucky (CUSA #2)
Stanford Region
First Round: Villanova (Big East #4) at Pacific (WCC #2)
Second Round: Winner at #4 Stanford (Pac-12 Automatic)
First Round: South Carolina (CUSA #3) at South Florida (AAC Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #13 Virginia (ACC #7)
First Round: Georgia State (Sun Belt Automatic) at North Florida (Atlantic Sun Automatic)
Second Round: Winner at #5 North Carolina (ACC Automatic)
First Round: American (Patriot Automatic) at Michigan State (Big Ten #3)
Second Round: Winner at #12 Loyola Chicago (MVC Automatic)
Conference Breakdown
America East | 4 |
American Athletic | 1 |
Atlantic Coast | 9 |
Atlantic Sun | 1 |
Atlantic 10 | 1 |
Big East | 4 |
Big South | 1 |
Big Ten | 3 |
Big West | 1 |
Colonial Athletic | 1 |
Conference USA | 3 |
Horizon | 1 |
Ivy League | 2 |
Metro Athletic | 1 |
Mid American | 2 |
Missouri Valley | 1 |
Northeast | 1 |
Pacific 12 | 4 |
Patriot League | 1 |
Southern | 1 |
Summit League | 1 |
Sun Belt | 1 |
WAC | 1 |
West Coast | 2 |
Total | 48 |
Projected Conference Winners
Conference | November 1, 2016 | RPI |
America East | New Hampshire | 34 |
American Athletic | South Florida | 31 |
Atlantic Coast | North Carolina | 6 |
Atlantic Sun | North Florida | 33 |
Big East | Providence | 27 |
Big South | Radford | 51 |
Big Ten | Maryland | 1 |
Big West | UC Santa Barbara | 82 |
Colonial Athletic | Hofstra | 26 |
Conference USA | Charlotte | 7 |
Horizon League | Wright State | 95 |
Ivy League | Harvard | 15 |
Metro Atlantic | Quinnipiac | 67 |
Mid American | Bowling Green | 85 |
Missouri Valley | Loyola Chicago | 8 |
Northeast | St. Francis (NY) | 106 |
Pacific 12 | Stanford | 5 |
Patriot | American | 66 |
Southern | ETSU | 28 |
Summit | Denver | 16 |
Sun Belt | Georgia State | 49 |
WAC | Utah Valley | 25 |
West Coast | Portland | 42 |
Last Four At-Large
Creighton
Villanova
Vermont
Stony Brook
Last Four Out
New Mexico
Connecticut
Akron
Buffalo