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College Soccer New's Bracketologist Updates Projections Of The 2016 NCAA Tournament Field

October 25, 2016 - Update #1 - College Soccer News' veteran Bracketologist has revised his projections of the forty-eight teams that will constitue the 2016 NCAA Tournament field, the sixteen seeds, and the match-ups based on the most recent RPI issued and a projection of the conference champions based on the information currently available. His analysis is based on projected conference winners and the same criteria the selection committee will utilize which includes win-loss record, geography, recent team play, quality wins, and the head-to-head match-ups that have taken place to date. These projections will continue to be revised as the season progresses.

CSN's Bracketologist advises that the RPI will likely change dramatically as the season progresses thus impacting his projections. In addition clarity in regard to most conference championships will not be decieded until conference tournaments are completed.

The projections are not reflective of any national polls nor are they an attempt to gague who the best teams are. The projections are designed to predict what the NCAA Tournament field would be if the selection committee were to make their selections at this moment. The projections do not take into account expected future results.

The NCAA Tournament field, the seeds, and the brackets will be announced on November 14, 2016 at 1 p.m. Eastern Time. 


#1 Maryland Region

 

 

First Round: Radford (Big South Automatic at Villanova (Big East #3) 

Second Round: Winner at #1 Maryland (Big Ten Automatic)

First Round: Quinnipiac (MAAC Automatic) at Albany (America East Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #16 Dartmouth (Ivy Automatic)

First Round: ETSU (Southern Conference #2) at Virginia Tech (ACC #9)

Second Round: Winner at #8 Charlotte (CUSA #2)

Providence (Big East #4) at New Hampshire (America East #2)

First Round: ETSU (Southern Conference Automatic) at Virginia Tech (ACC #9)

Second Round: Winner at #9 North Carolina (ACC #5)


#2 Clemson Region 

 

 

First Round: Mercer (Southern Conference Automatic) at North Florida (Atlantic Sun Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #2 Clemson (ACC #2)

First Round: South Florida (AAC Automatic) at Boston College (ACC #8) 

Second Round: Winner at #15 Butler (Big East #2)

FIrst Round: Bowling Green (MAC Automatic) at Michigan State (Big Ten #2)

Second Round: Winner at #7 Loyola Chicago (MVC Automatic)

First Round: American (Patriot Automatic) at West Virginia (MAC #2)

Second Round: Winner at #10 Kentucky (CUSA #3)


#3 Louisville Region

 

 

First Round: Saint Louis (Atlantic 10 Automatic) at Utah Valley (WAC #2) 

Second Round: Winner at #3 Louisville (ACC Automatic)

First Round: Seattle (WCC Automatic) at  San Diego State (Pac-12 #3)

Second Round: Winner at #14 Denver (Summit Automatic)

First Round: Harvard (Ivy #2) at UConn (AAC #2)

Second Round: Winner at #6 Syracuse (ACC #4)

First Round: Wright State (Horizon Automatic) at Indiana (Big Ten #3)

Second Round: Winner at #11 Notre Dame (ACC #6)


#4 Wake Forest Region

 

 

First Round: St. Francis (N.Y.) (NEC Automatic) at Hofstra (CAA Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #4 Wake Forest (ACC #3)

First Round: Coastal Carolina (Sun Belt Automatic) at South Carolina (CUSA Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #13 Virginia (ACC #7)

First Round: UC Santa Barbara (Big West Automatic) at Pacific (WCC #2)

Second Round: Winner at #5 Stanford (Pac-12 Automatic)

First Round: Portland (WCC Automatic) at Creighton (Big East Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #12 Washington (Pac-12 #2)


Conference Breakdown 

America East  2
American Athletic 2
Atlantic Coast  9
Atlantic Sun 1
Atlantic 10 1
Big East 4
Big South 1
Big Ten 3
Big West 1
CAA  1
CUSA  3
Horizon League 1
Ivy League 2
Metro Atlantic 1
Mid American 2
Missouri Valley 1
Northeast 1
Pacific 12 3
Patriot League 1
Southern 2
Summit League 1
Sun Belt 1
WAC 2
West Coast 2
Total 48

Last Four At Large Selections:

Harvard

San Diego State

Providence

ETSU

 

Last Four Out:

UCLA 

Vermont 

Xavier

Colgate


Projected Conference Winners

Conference 17 October 2016 RPI
America East Albany 15
American Athletic South Florida  36
Atlantic Coast Louisville 3
Atlantic Sun North Florida  24
Atlantic 10 Saint Louis 38
Big East Creighton 21
Big South Radford 46
Big Ten Maryland 2
Big West UC Santa Barbara 87
Colonial Athletic Hofstra 25
Conference USA South Carolina 20
Horizon League Wright State  97
Ivy League Dartmouth 18
Metro Atlantic Quinnipiac 61
Mid American Bowling Green 73
Missouri Valley Loyola Chicago 4
Northeast St. Francis (NY) 99
Pacific 12 Stanford 6
Patriot American 79
Southern Mercer 48
Summit Denver 14
Sun Belt Coastal Carolina 47
WAC Seattle 58
West Coast  Portland 54