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College Soccer New's Bracketologist Issues Initial Projections Of The 2016 NCAA Tournament Field

October 18, 2016 - College Soccer News' veteran Bracketologist has been pouring over the available data and has issued his first projections of the forty-eight teams that will constitue the 2016 NCAA Tournament field, the sixteen seeds, and the match-ups based on the most recent RPI issued and a projection of the conference champions based on the information currently available. His analysis is based on projected conference winners and the same criteria the selection committee will utilize which includes win-loss record, geography, recent team play, quality wins, and the head-to-head match-ups that have taken place to date. These projections will continue to be revised as the season progresses.

CSN's Bracketologist advises that the RPI will likely change dramatically as the season progresses thus impacting his projections. In addition clarity in regard to most conference championships will not be decieded until conference tournaments are completed.

The projections are not reflective of any national polls nor are they an attempt to gague who the best teams are. The projections are designed to predict what the NCAA Tournament field would be if the selection committee were to make their selections at this moment. The projections do not take into account expected future results.

The NCAA Tournament field, the seeds, and the brackets will be announced on November 14, 2016 at 1 p.m. Eastern Time. 


#1 Clemson Region

 

 

First Round: San Diego State (Pac12 #4) at Pacific (WCC #2) 

Second Round: Winner at #1 Clemson (ACC #2)

First Round: Harvard (Ivy #3) at Connecticut (AAC Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #16 Albany (America East Automatic)

First Round: South Florida (AAC #2) at Indiana (Big Ten #3)

Second Round: Winner at #8 Loyola Chicago (MVC Automatic)

First Round: ETSU (Southern Conference Automatic) at Virginia Tech (ACC #9)

Second Round: Winner at #9 Charlotte (CUSA #2)


#2 Louisville Region 

 

 

First Round: Wright State (Horizon League Automatic) at Butler (Big East #2)

Second Round: Winner at #2 Louisvile (ACC Automatic)

First Round: UC Santa Barbara (Big West Automatic) at UCLA (Pac-12 #3) 

Second Round: Winner at #15 Denver (Summit Automatic)

FIrst Round: Loyola (Md) (Patriot Automatic) at UNCW (CAA #2)

Second Round: Winner at #7 Virginia (ACC #6)

First Round: Columbia (Ivy #2) at Utah Valley (WAC #2)

Second Round: Winner at #10 Stanford (Pac-12 Automatic)


#3 Notre Dame Region

 

 

First Round: Radford (Big South Automatic) at Akron (MAC Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #3 Notre Dame (ACC #3)

First Round: Hartwick (Sun Belt Automatic) at Boston College (ACC #8)

Second Round: Winner at #14 Creighton (Big East Automatic)

First Round: Quinnipiac (MAAC Automatic) at Dartmouth (Ivy Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #6 Syracuse (ACC #5)

First Round: FGCU (Atlantic Sun Automatic) at Michigan State (Big Ten #2)

Second Round: Winner at #11 Wake Forest (ACC #7)


#4 Maryland Region

 

 

First Round: St. Francis (N.Y.) (NEC Automatic) at Hofstra (CAA Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #4 Maryland (Big Ten Automatic)

First Round: Portland (WCC Automatic) at Seattle (WAC Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #13 Washington (Pac-12 #2)

First Round: Villanova (Big East #4) at South Carolina (CUSA Automatic)

Second Round: Winner at #5 North Carolina (ACC #4)

First Round: St. Louis (Atlantic 10 Automatic) at Xavier (Big East #3)

Second Round: Winner at #12 Kentucky (CUSA #3)


 

Conference Breakdown 

America East  1
American Athletic 2
Atlantic Coast  9
Atlantic Sun 1
Atlantic 10 1
Big East 4
Big South 1
Big Ten 3
Big West 1
CAA  2
CUSA  3
Horizon League 1
Ivy League 3
Metro Atlantic 1
Mid American 1
Missouri Valley 1
Northeast 1
Pacific 12 4
Patriot League 1
Southern 1
Summit League 1
Sun Belt 1
WAC 2
West Coast 2
Total 48

 

Last Four At Large Selections:

Villanova

San Diego State

Harvard

Columbia

 

Last Four Out:

West Virginia

New Hampshire

California

Vermont

 

Projected Conference Winners

Conference 17 October 2016 RPI
America East Albany 15
American Athletic Connecticut 26
Atlantic Coast Louisville 3
Atlantic Sun FGCU 53
Atlantic 10 Saint Louis 45
Big East Creighton 17
Big South Radford 48
Big Ten Maryland 5
Big West UC Santa Barbara 80
Colonial Athletic Hofstra 30
Conference USA South Carolina 25
Horizon League Wright State  101
Ivy League Dartmouth 18
Metro Atlantic Quinnipiac 61
Mid American Akron 36
Missouri Valley Loyola Chicago 4
Northeast St. Francis (NY) 86
Pacific 12 Stanford 11
Patriot Loyola (MD) 97
Southern ETSU 35
Summit Denver 19
Sun Belt Hartwick 62
WAC Seattle 42
West Coast  Portland 54